Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.030992 0.033322 0.035652 0.038153 0.040758 0.043389 0.046243
2025-09-21 0.026000 0.029657 0.033441 0.037631 0.042127 0.046792 0.051984
2025-09-28 0.022443 0.026791 0.031405 0.036634 0.042363 0.048418 0.055273
2025-10-05 0.020866 0.025830 0.031205 0.037404 0.044301 0.051691 0.060160
2025-10-12 0.019323 0.024744 0.030724 0.037729 0.045631 0.054198 0.064117
2025-10-19 0.017681 0.023414 0.029855 0.037513 0.046264 0.055855 0.067066
2025-10-26 0.016911 0.023028 0.030002 0.038395 0.048085 0.058796 0.071409
2025-11-02 0.015859 0.022234 0.029616 0.038610 0.049101 0.060794 0.074664
2025-11-09 0.014742 0.021294 0.029000 0.038506 0.049705 0.062291 0.077322
2025-11-16 0.013816 0.020536 0.028557 0.038564 0.050463 0.063935 0.080125
2025-11-23 0.012761 0.019558 0.027801 0.038208 0.050700 0.064951 0.082185
2025-11-30 0.011902 0.018785 0.027258 0.038073 0.051170 0.066214 0.084511
2025-12-07 0.010822 0.017718 0.026363 0.037547 0.051232 0.067080 0.086483
2025-12-14 0.009803 0.016690 0.025490 0.037034 0.051309 0.067976 0.088515
2025-12-21 0.008676 0.015443 0.024279 0.036047 0.050766 0.068100 0.089611
2025-12-28 0.008349 0.015286 0.024467 0.036809 0.052353 0.070753 0.093683
2026-01-04 0.007877 0.014894 0.024323 0.037131 0.053384 0.072734 0.096955
2026-01-11 0.007241 0.014226 0.023782 0.036917 0.053730 0.073876 0.099220
2026-01-18 0.007040 0.014189 0.024084 0.037791 0.055434 0.076659 0.103447
2026-01-25 0.006625 0.013803 0.023892 0.038004 0.056296 0.078414 0.106440
2026-02-01 0.006134 0.013271 0.023474 0.037900 0.056744 0.079655 0.108807
2026-02-08 0.005727 0.012846 0.023187 0.037957 0.057384 0.081123 0.111446
2026-02-15 0.005224 0.012234 0.022611 0.037605 0.057484 0.081914 0.113255